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ATSV Erlangen vs Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2021/2022 game between ATSV Erlangen and Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ATSV Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
ATSV Erlangen
6%
Draws
90%
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ATSV Erlangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 12%
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
4:0
Aug 14, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg vs ATSV Erlangen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 10 / 100
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: ATSV Erlangen scored in 71% of their last 41 outings.

Defensive concern: Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

ATSV Erlangen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
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Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg

(Away)
28 May
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
2 : 3
TuS Rollbach
25 May
TuS Rollbach
2 : 2
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
21 May
Grossbardorf
1 : 2
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
14 May
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
2 : 1
SV Seligenporten
07 May
Bayern Hof
0 : 0
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilzing34263589:2681
2Ansbach34263589:3281
3ATSV Erlangen34233877:4072
4Bamberg34215882:3568
5ASV Neumarkt341941170:5161
6DJK Don Bosco Bamberg341751268:5956
7Gebenbach341571274:6352
8DJK Ammerthal341641469:7152
9Abtswind341631549:5451
10Feucht341551457:4650
11Grossbardorf341351656:6044
12Bayern Hof341161755:6939
13Cham34952046:7632
14Wurzburger FV34871944:7031
15Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg34871936:7131
16Karlburg346121624:5530
17SV Seligenporten34632540:9621
181. FC Sand34552430:8120
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2021/2022 (Relegation)