Sport Picks
Atyrau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakhstan
Premier League Turkestan Arena, Turkestan 
Match Events
32'
32'
Rabiu M.
42'
42'
Henrique
61'
61'
Sub
Abiken A. In: Kaldybekov E.
Out: Abiken A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Atyrau and Kaisar Kyzylorda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atyrau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kaisar Kyzylorda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kaisar Kyzylorda come out ahead of Atyrau on wins alone.
- Model gives Kaisar Kyzylorda a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 22%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atyrau | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 14 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Atyrau
0:0
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:2
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Atyrau
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atyrau Compare
Top Goalscorer Khvalko E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kalmuratov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atyrau 24 / 100
Kaisar Kyzylorda 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atyrau Kaisar Kyzylorda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atyrau scored in 65% of their last 26 games.
Kaisar Kyzylorda has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Atyrau remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atyrau VS Kaisar Kyzylorda
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atyrau
(Home) 26 Jul
Tobol
1 : 0 Atyrau
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3 Kairat Almaty
05 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 2 Kaspij Aktau
27 Jun
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 0 Atyrau
21 Jun
Yelimay Semey
1 : 2 Atyrau
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3 Kairat Almaty
05 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 2 Kaspij Aktau
28 May
Atyrau
1 : 1 Tobol
03 May
Atyrau
1 : 0 Altai
29 Apr
Atyrau
0 : 2 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(Away) 26 Jul
Yelimay Semey
1 : 1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
28 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
1 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Yelimay Semey
1 : 1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
28 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
1 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
14 Jun
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
23 May
Kairat Almaty
0 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39:14 | 45 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 34:15 | 43 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 32 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16:18 | 27 |
| 8 | Tobol | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:23 | 22 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:25 | 21 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15:22 | 20 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 19 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 14 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Altai | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 16:23 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
