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Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Bortnikova S.
Assist: Yrysbek K.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Atyrau W and Tomiris-Turan W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomiris-Turan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atyrau W
15%
Draws
49%
Tomiris-Turan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomiris-Turan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomiris-Turan W come out ahead of Atyrau W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tomiris-Turan W a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tomiris-Turan W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Atyrau W Clean Sheet 20%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyrau W Tomiris-Turan W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 24
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.33 2.76
Goals Conceded 4 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 League Women
Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:1
Apr 27, 2026 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Atyrau W
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Atyrau W
7:0
May 22, 2025 League Women
Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atyrau W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortnikova S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyrau W 10 / 100
Tomiris-Turan W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyrau W Tomiris-Turan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomiris-Turan W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Atyrau W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atyrau W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tomiris-Turan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atyrau W VS Tomiris-Turan W
2.25 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atyrau W

(Home)
07 Sept
Atyrau W
2 : 0
Ordabasy W
31 Aug
Atyrau W
5 : 0
Ulytau W
24 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 0
Atyrau W
17 Aug
Atyrau W
3 : 1
Zhetysu W
03 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
1 : 0
Atyrau W
Page 1 of 6

Tomiris-Turan W

(Away)
17 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
3 : 0
Tomiris-Turan W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Tomiris-Turan W
4 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
24 Aug
Kaspij Aktau W
0 : 6
Tomiris-Turan W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)