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Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Bortnikova S.
Assist: Yrysbek K.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Atyrau W and Tomiris-Turan W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomiris-Turan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atyrau W
6%
Draws
90%
Tomiris-Turan W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tomiris-Turan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomiris-Turan W come out ahead of Atyrau W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tomiris-Turan W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tomiris-Turan W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Atyrau W Clean Sheet 20%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyrau W Tomiris-Turan W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 5 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 League Women
Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:1
Apr 27, 2026 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Atyrau W
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Atyrau W
7:0
May 22, 2025 League Women
Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atyrau W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortnikova S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyrau W 10 / 100
Tomiris-Turan W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyrau W Tomiris-Turan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Atyrau W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atyrau W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tomiris-Turan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atyrau W VS Tomiris-Turan W
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451