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Aubervilliers vs Senart-Moissy Prediction & H2H Stats

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CFA - Group A 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group A 2011/2012 game between Aubervilliers and Senart-Moissy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aubervilliers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Aubervilliers
20%
Draws
20%
Senart-Moissy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aubervilliers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Aubervilliers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Aubervilliers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aubervilliers Clean Sheet 20%
Senart-Moissy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubervilliers Senart-Moissy
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 12 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.56 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Aubervilliers vs Senart-Moissy
1:0
Aug 20, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Aubervilliers
1:0
Apr 9, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Aubervilliers
1:1
Nov 6, 2010 National 1 - Group A
Aubervilliers vs Senart-Moissy
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubervilliers 85 / 100
Senart-Moissy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubervilliers Senart-Moissy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aubervilliers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubervilliers found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Senart-Moissy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Senart-Moissy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aubervilliers VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aubervilliers

(Home)
30 Nov
Avranches
2 : 1
Aubervilliers
16 Nov
SA Beaumont
4 : 7
Aubervilliers
17 May
FC Balagne
8 : 2
Aubervilliers
10 May
Aubervilliers
2 : 3
Thionville
03 May
Creteil
1 : 4
Aubervilliers
Page 1 of 8

Senart-Moissy

(Away)
14 Nov
Panazol
2 : 1
Senart-Moissy
07 Feb
JA Drancy
2 : 0
Senart-Moissy
12 Nov
Les Sables
4 : 1
Senart-Moissy
02 Jun
Senart-Moissy
0 : 0
Villemomble
23 May
Calvi
1 : 1
Senart-Moissy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borgo 34 20 7 7 53:33 101
2 Aubervilliers 34 19 7 8 53:34 98
3 Dunkerque 34 17 12 5 50:31 97
4 Auxerre II 34 19 5 10 60:36 96
5 JA Drancy 34 15 10 9 35:32 88
6 Lens II 34 13 11 10 48:39 84
7 Calvi 34 13 11 10 58:51 84
8 Amiens AC 34 14 8 12 41:40 84
9 Ivry 34 14 7 13 50:40 83
10 Lille II 34 13 10 11 44:42 82
11 Compiegne 34 12 7 15 44:52 77
12 Poissy 34 7 17 10 43:47 72
13 Valenciennes II 34 11 5 18 44:52 72
14 PSG II 34 8 11 15 32:38 69
15 Alfortville 34 7 11 16 36:55 66
16 Senart-Moissy 34 6 13 15 22:45 65
17 Villemomble 34 6 12 16 24:47 64
18 Avion 34 5 10 19 34:57 59
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)