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Auckland FC vs Macarthur FC

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Duran R.
Assist: Brattan L.
20'
Duke M.
44' Event
Uskok T.
Assist: Ikonomidis C.

AI Match Summary

Macarthur FC in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macarthur FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Auckland FC
40%
Draws
29%
Macarthur FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland FC lately — more wins on the board than Macarthur FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 15%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC Macarthur FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Macarthur FC
1:2
Jan 5, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Auckland FC
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Macarthur FC
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Auckland FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Girdwood-Reich J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Macarthur FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uskok T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 31 / 100
Macarthur FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC Macarthur FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland FC scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Macarthur FC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Auckland FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC VS Macarthur FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2
Tottenham
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
02 May
Auckland FC
2 : 1
Melbourne City
Page 1 of 6

Macarthur FC

(Away)
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3
Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
02 Apr
Macarthur FC
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)