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Auckland United vs Napier City

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Chung Z.
40' Event
Corfe D.
65' Event
Mcnamara J.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2023 game between Auckland United and Napier City finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Auckland United
11%
Draws
80%
Napier City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Napier City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Napier City haven't matched Auckland United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Napier City a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Auckland United Clean Sheet 10%
Napier City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United Napier City
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 National League
Auckland United vs Napier City
3:3
Nov 26, 2022 National League
Auckland United vs Napier City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Chung Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atkinson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Napier City Compare

Top Goalscorer Corfe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mcnamara J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United 10 / 100
Napier City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United Napier City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napier City let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Auckland United's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Auckland United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United VS Napier City
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic972034:1523
2Auckland City970219:1221
3Christchurch951318:1616
4Eastern Suburbs943223:1115
5Manurewa941416:2013
6Cashmere Technical941424:2413
7Auckland United924315:1710
8Wellington Phoenix 2930619:249
9Napier City921613:267
10Petone90186:221