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Auckland United W vs Waterside Karori W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Vlok P.
13' Event
Roche C.
51' Event
Roche C.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Auckland United W and Waterside Karori W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auckland United W
6%
Draws
4%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Waterside Karori W haven't matched Auckland United W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Auckland United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Auckland United W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 28 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 3.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Waterside Karori W
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vlok P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Waterside Karori W Compare

Top Goalscorer Furukawa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United W 85 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United W Waterside Karori W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland United W scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

Waterside Karori W let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Auckland United W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United W VS Waterside Karori W
3.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Auckland United W3
Waterside Karori W1