Sport Picks
Auckland United W vs Waterside Karori W
New Zealand
National League Women 2024 
Match Events
2'
2'
Vlok P.
13'
13'
Roche C.
51'
51'
Roche C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Auckland United W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Waterside Karori W haven't matched Auckland United W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Auckland United W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Auckland United W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Auckland United W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Auckland United W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland United W | Waterside Karori W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 22 |
| Wins | 26 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 3.88 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 3.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.88 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 3.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 1, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Waterside Karori W
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Auckland United W
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auckland United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Roche C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vlok P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94
Waterside Karori W Compare
Top Goalscorer Furukawa N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Auckland United W 85 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Auckland United W Waterside Karori W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Auckland United W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Waterside Karori W let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Recent resilience: Auckland United W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Auckland United W VS Waterside Karori W
3.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Auckland United W
(Home) 25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2 Auckland United W
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29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
24 Oct
Auckland United W
1 : 0 West Coast Rangers W
12 Oct
Auckland United W
10 : 0 Central Football W
27 Sept
Auckland United W
8 : 0 Canterbury United W
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Waterside Karori W
(Away) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1 Waterside Karori W
23 Nov
Southern United W
2 : 0 Waterside Karori W
16 Nov
Waterside Karori W
3 : 1 West Coast Rangers W
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05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1 Waterside Karori W
23 Nov
Southern United W
2 : 0 Waterside Karori W
09 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Waterside Karori W
26 Oct
Western Springs W
1 : 1 Waterside Karori W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Auckland United W3
Waterside Karori W1
