Sport Picks
Auckland United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
New Zealand
National League Women 2024 
Match Events
63'
63'
Roche C.
80'
80'
Roche C.
82'
82'
Wasi R.
AI Match Summary
The National League Women 2024 game between Auckland United W and Wellington Phoenix 2 W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Auckland United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Auckland United W come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix 2 W on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Auckland United W's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Auckland United W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 68%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland United W | Wellington Phoenix 2 W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 26 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.88 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2025 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:4
Sep 7, 2025 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:4
Nov 23, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3:0
Aug 17, 2024 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:2
Nov 5, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auckland United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Roche C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Wasi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Auckland United W 59 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Auckland United W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Auckland United W scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Wellington Phoenix 2 W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Auckland United W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Auckland United W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Auckland United W
(Home) 25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2 Auckland United W
Page 1 of 7
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
24 Oct
Auckland United W
1 : 0 West Coast Rangers W
12 Oct
Auckland United W
10 : 0 Central Football W
27 Sept
Auckland United W
8 : 0 Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 3
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
(Away) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
10 Oct
Canterbury United W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
28 Sept
Southern United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | Waterside Karori W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Western Springs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 14 |
| 5 | West Coast Rangers W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 6 | Wellington United W | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Southern United W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:28 | 4 |
| 10 | Central Football W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:50 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)