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Auerbach vs Freital

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Auerbach Logo

Auerbach

3 - 0
FT
Freital Logo

Freital

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Auerbach in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Auerbach
15%
Draws
51%
Freital
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freital lately — more wins on the board than Auerbach.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 19%
Freital Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auerbach Freital
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
2:0
Mar 25, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Freital
3:0
Mar 12, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Freital
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
1:2
Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auerbach 36 / 100
Freital 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auerbach Freital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auerbach found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Freital's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Freital conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Auerbach VS Freital
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auerbach

(Home)
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
09 May
Auerbach
1 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
02 May
Plauen
3 : 1
Auerbach
Page 1 of 6

Freital

(Away)
30 May
Rsv Eintracht
2 : 1
Freital
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
10 May
Halberstadt
1 : 3
Freital
01 May
Freital
1 : 2
Halle
26 Apr
Bautzen
3 : 1
Freital
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost (Main)