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Aurora vs La Paz

Bolivia Bolivia

Liga de Futbol Prof 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora in this Liga de Futbol Prof 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aurora
39%
Draws
31%
La Paz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora lately — more wins on the board than La Paz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aurora have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Aurora Clean Sheet 18%
La Paz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora La Paz
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Division Profesional
Aurora vs La Paz
2:1
Jan 13, 2013 Division Profesional
La Paz vs Aurora
0:1
Nov 29, 2012 Division Profesional
La Paz vs Aurora
0:3
Sep 9, 2012 Division Profesional
Aurora vs La Paz
4:1
May 6, 2012 Division Profesional
Aurora vs La Paz
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 31 / 100
La Paz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora La Paz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

La Paz let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolivar22162450:3050
2Oriente Petrolero22145343:2547
3San Jose22125537:2141
4Universitario de Sucre22105730:2435
5The Strongest2297640:3534
6Jorge Wilstermann2296743:3033
7Real Potosi2287731:3031
8Blooming22651131:4023
9Nacional Potosi22571031:3522
10Aurora22641228:4322
11Petrolero de Yacuiba22551224:4020
12La Paz22141715:507