Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora vs La Paz

Bolivia Bolivia

Liga de Futbol Prof 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora in this Liga de Futbol Prof 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aurora
15%
Draws
28%
La Paz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora lately — more wins on the board than La Paz.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aurora have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aurora Clean Sheet 18%
La Paz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora La Paz
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.73 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Division Profesional
Aurora vs La Paz
2:1
Jan 13, 2013 Division Profesional
La Paz vs Aurora
0:1
Nov 29, 2012 Division Profesional
La Paz vs Aurora
0:3
Sep 9, 2012 Division Profesional
Aurora vs La Paz
4:1
May 6, 2012 Division Profesional
Aurora vs La Paz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 49 / 100
La Paz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora La Paz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

La Paz let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 8

La Paz

(Away)
22 Dec
Tiquipaya
1 : 0
La Paz
07 Dec
La Paz
1 : 2
Em Huanuni
30 Nov
Maestranza
3 : 0
La Paz
23 Nov
La Paz
6 : 1
Chaco Petrolero
16 Nov
La Paz
2 : 1
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 22 16 2 4 50:30 50
2 Oriente Petrolero 22 14 5 3 43:25 47
3 San Jose 22 12 5 5 37:21 41
4 Universitario de Sucre 22 10 5 7 30:24 35
5 The Strongest 22 9 7 6 40:35 34
6 Jorge Wilstermann 22 9 6 7 43:30 33
7 Real Potosi 22 8 7 7 31:30 31
8 Blooming 22 6 5 11 31:40 23
9 Nacional Potosi 22 5 7 10 31:35 22
10 Aurora 22 6 4 12 28:43 22
11 Petrolero de Yacuiba 22 5 5 12 24:40 20
12 La Paz 22 1 4 17 15:50 7
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2014 (Qualification)