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Aurora vs Real America

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Aurora Logo

Aurora

1 - 0
FT
Real America Logo

Real America

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aurora in this Nacional B 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aurora
15%
Draws
39%
Real America
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aurora have won more games recently than Real America.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aurora Clean Sheet 18%
Real America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Real America
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 11 3
Draws 12 1
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.47 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real America vs Aurora
0:0
Mar 5, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Real America
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 41 / 100
Real America 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Real America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real America's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

Recent resilience: Aurora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

Real America

(Away)
06 May
Ciclon
2 : 4
Real America
29 Apr
Real America
0 : 0
Aurora
15 Apr
Real America
3 : 1
Fancesa
01 Apr
Fancesa
3 : 2
Real America
18 Mar
Real America
2 : 1
Ciclon
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)