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Stadium Background

Aurrera Ondarroa vs Anorga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aurrera Ondarroa
15%
Draws
59%
Anorga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anorga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Anorga lately — more wins on the board than Aurrera Ondarroa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 17%
Anorga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera Ondarroa Anorga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs Aurrera Ondarroa
3:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Anorga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera Ondarroa 31 / 100
Anorga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera Ondarroa Anorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anorga let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Aurrera Ondarroa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Anorga
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera Ondarroa

(Home)
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2
Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3
Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6

Anorga

(Away)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)