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Aurskog-Holand vs Sander Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurskog-Holand in this Division 3 - Group 3 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurskog-Holand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aurskog-Holand
30%
Draws
31%
Sander
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurskog-Holand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurskog-Holand lately — more wins on the board than Sander.
  • Model gives Aurskog-Holand a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aurskog-Holand Clean Sheet 20%
Sander Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurskog-Holand Sander
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 2 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Aurskog-Holand vs Sander
4:1
Apr 16, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Sander vs Aurskog-Holand
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurskog-Holand 49 / 100
Sander 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurskog-Holand Sander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurskog-Holand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sander conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Aurskog-Holand scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Aurskog-Holand went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurskog-Holand VS Sander
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurskog-Holand

(Home)
22 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
4 : 4
Kongsvinger 2
15 Oct
Flisa
2 : 2
Aurskog-Holand
08 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
3 : 0
Ardal
01 Oct
Funnefoss/Vormsund
5 : 0
Aurskog-Holand
27 Sept
Aurskog-Holand
1 : 3
Ull/Kisa 2
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Sander

(Away)
22 Oct
Skedsmo
2 : 0
Sander
15 Oct
Sander
0 : 1
Hauerseter
10 Oct
Lillestrom 2
7 : 2
Sander
01 Oct
Sander
2 : 2
Jevnaker
24 Sept
Sander
7 : 3
Hallingdal
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