Sport Picks
Austin FC II vs North Texas
USA
MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed, Austin, TX 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ruszel M.
19'
19'
Starnes S.
31'
31'
Burton M.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between Austin FC II and North Texas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austin FC II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Austin FC II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- North Texas haven't matched Austin FC II's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC II taking it.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 17%
North Texas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Austin FC II | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Austin FC II
0:2
Mar 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs North Texas
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs North Texas
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Austin FC II
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs North Texas
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Austin FC II Compare
Top Goalscorer Barro D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
North Texas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Austin FC II 57 / 100
North Texas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Austin FC II North Texas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Austin FC II scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
North Texas let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Austin FC II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Austin FC II VS North Texas
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Austin FC II
(Home) 26 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1 Austin FC II
23 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 4 Austin FC II
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3 Minnesota United 2
06 Jul
Austin FC II
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2 Austin FC II
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3 Minnesota United 2
06 Jul
Austin FC II
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
22 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
08 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 0 Los Angeles FC 2
18 May
Austin FC II
4 : 1 St. Louis City 2
Page 1 of 3
North Texas
(Away) 26 Jul
North Texas
2 : 3 Los Angeles FC 2
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
12 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
1 : 0 North Texas
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
11 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 1 North Texas
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
12 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
1 : 0 North Texas
11 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 1 North Texas
30 May
St. Louis City 2
2 : 0 North Texas
10 May
Minnesota United 2
0 : 2 North Texas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 5 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 4 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 4 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 10 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
