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Australia U23 vs Croatia U21

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Tikvic A. In: Dizdarevic A.
Out: Tikvic A.
46'
Sub
Zvonarek L. In: Barzic M.
Out: Zvonarek L.
50'
Adamson K.

AI Match Summary

Australia U23 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Australia U23
30%
Draws
43%
Croatia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Australia U23 average 2.32 goals a game right now, well clear of Croatia U21's 1.97.
  • Win probability leans Australia U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 Croatia U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.32 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs Croatia U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dukuly Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Croatia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tunjic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 36 / 100
Croatia U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 Croatia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Australia U23 scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Croatia U21 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Australia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS Croatia U21
3.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U23

(Home)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
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Croatia U21

(Away)
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
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