Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austria Vienna vs Hartberg

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Generali Arena, Vienna
Austria Vienna Logo

Austria Vienna

1 - 0
FT
Hartberg Logo

Hartberg

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Saljic S. In: Markovic V.
Out: Saljic S.
46'
Sub
Kainz T. In: Havel E.
Out: Kainz T.
58'
Sub
Maybach P. In: Boateng K.
Out: Maybach P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Austria Vienna and Hartberg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria Vienna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Austria Vienna
30%
Draws
43%
Hartberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austria Vienna come out ahead of Hartberg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Austria Vienna's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 15%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Vienna Hartberg
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.65 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Austria Vienna
0:2
May 3, 2026 Bundesliga
Austria Vienna vs Hartberg
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Austria Vienna
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Austria Vienna
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Bundesliga
Austria Vienna vs Hartberg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Boateng K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hartberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria Vienna 35 / 100
Hartberg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Vienna Hartberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria Vienna found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Hartberg has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Austria Vienna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austria Vienna VS Hartberg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria Vienna

(Home)
19 Sept
Grazer AK
2 : 2
Austria Vienna
13 Sept
Austria Vienna
2 : 1
A. Lustenau
05 Sept
Traiskirchen
0 : 6
Austria Vienna
02 Sept
Austria Vienna
0 : 1
Tirol
30 Aug
Salzburg
4 : 1
Austria Vienna
Page 1 of 7

Hartberg

(Away)
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
22 Aug
Altach
1 : 2
Hartberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LASK Linz 32 17 7 8 56:42 39
2 Sturm Graz 32 16 8 8 51:35 37
3 Salzburg 32 13 9 10 56:41 29
4 Austria Vienna 32 14 5 13 45:50 29
5 Rapid Vienna 32 12 8 12 36:41 27
6 Hartberg 32 10 12 10 40:40 25
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)