Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avai B vs Marcilio Dias

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019 Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Avai B Logo

Avai B

0 - 1
FT
Marcilio Dias Logo

Marcilio Dias

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Marcilio Dias advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Avai B
20%
Draws
51%
Marcilio Dias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marcilio Dias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Marcilio Dias carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marcilio Dias are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Marcilio Dias arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marcilio Dias have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Avai B Clean Sheet 20%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai B Marcilio Dias
Matches Played 16 34
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Avai B
4:1
Nov 5, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Marcilio Dias
1:0
Oct 27, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Avai B
1:0
Sep 11, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Marcilio Dias
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai B 16 / 100
Marcilio Dias 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai B Marcilio Dias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai B found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (16 games).

Marcilio Dias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Avai B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marcilio Dias
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai B

(Home)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
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Marcilio Dias

(Away)
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Portuguesa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)