Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avai vs Sampaio Correa FE

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Avai Logo

Avai

2 - 0
FT
Sampaio Correa FE Logo

Sampaio Correa FE

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Luiz Henrique
(Penalty)
30'
Oliveira dos Santos J. V.
45'
Wesley Gasolina
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Avai
30%
Draws
47%
Sampaio Correa FE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Avai have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avai, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Avai Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Sampaio Correa FE
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.29 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Avai vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 32 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Sampaio Correa FE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampaio Correa FE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avai scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Sampaio Correa FE has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Avai remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Sampaio Correa FE
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
Atletico GO
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
Page 1 of 7

Sampaio Correa FE

(Away)
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1
Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1
Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)