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Avai vs Sampaio Correa FE

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada)
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Luiz Henrique
(Penalty)
30'
Oliveira dos Santos J. V.
45'
Wesley Gasolina

AI Match Summary

The Copa Sul-Sudeste game between Avai and Sampaio Correa FE finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Avai
20%
Draws
38%
Sampaio Correa FE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Avai taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Avai Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Sampaio Correa FE
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Avai vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 42 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Sampaio Correa FE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avai scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Sampaio Correa FE let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Avai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Sampaio Correa FE
1.5 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 29%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chapecoense-SC64118:513
2Novorizontino63218:511
3SER Caxias do Sul63216:311
4Cianorte62229:108
5Tombense612311:135
6Sampaio Correa FE61237:95
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai631210:810
2Volta Redonda63129:810
3Operario-PR62315:49
4America MG622211:118
5EC Juventude61144:94
6Sao Bernardo60336:93