Sport Picks
Avai vs Sport Recife
Brazil
Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis 
Match Events
43'
43'
Sub
Felipinho In: Edson Lucas
Out: Felipinho
46'
46'
Sub
Leo Chu In: Jean L.
Out: Leo Chu
46'
46'
Paulo Vitor
AI Match Summary
Avai in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Avai haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Sport Recife taking it.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Avai Clean Sheet 18%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avai | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Sport Recife
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Avai
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Sport Recife
0:2
May 19, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Avai
1:2
Sep 29, 2023 Serie B
Avai vs Sport Recife
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avai Compare
Top Goalscorer Romildo Del Piage
1 Goals Assists Leader Leo Gamalho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avai 23 / 100
Sport Recife 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avai Sport Recife
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sport Recife Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Avai's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sport Recife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Sport Recife's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Avai VS Sport Recife
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Avai
(Home) 20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1 Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 Atletico GO
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 Atletico GO
19 Aug
Avai
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 CRB
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1 America MG
Page 1 of 3
Sport Recife
(Away) 19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Aug
Avai
2 : 1 Sport Recife
08 Aug
Vila Nova FC
0 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 50 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 41 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 14 | Nautico | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
