Sport Picks
Avai vs Vila Nova FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis 
Match Events
12'
12'
Willian Formiga
30'
30'
Andre Luis
Assist: Janderson
38'
38'
Daniel Penha
Assist: Jean L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Nova FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vila Nova FC lately — more wins on the board than Avai.
- Win probability leans Avai's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Avai Clean Sheet 14%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avai | Vila Nova FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Vila Nova FC
1:1
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Avai
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Avai
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Vila Nova FC
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Vila Nova FC
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avai Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel Penha
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Vila Nova FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Andre Luis
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avai 35 / 100
Vila Nova FC 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avai Vila Nova FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avai's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Vila Nova FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Avai remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Avai VS Vila Nova FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Avai
(Home) 03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1 Ceara
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0 Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1 Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1 Ceara
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 Atletico GO
19 Aug
Avai
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 CRB
Page 1 of 3
Vila Nova FC
(Away) 03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0 Vila Nova FC
15 Aug
Atletico GO
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 56 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 54 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 53 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 47 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 46 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 45 |
| 12 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | 42 |
| 13 | Nautico | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 42 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | 39 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
