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Avellino vs Lazio

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gila M. In: Pellegrini Lu.
Out: Gila M.
46'
Sub
Provstgaard O. In: Romagnoli A.
Out: Provstgaard O.
46'
Sub
Hysaj E. In: Lazzari M.
Out: Hysaj E.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Avellino
20%
Draws
52%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio lately — more wins on the board than Avellino.
  • Model gives Lazio a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Lazio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.17 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Lazio vs Avellino
6:3
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Avellino vs Lazio
0:1
May 5, 1985 Serie A
Lazio vs Avellino
0:1
Dec 23, 1984 Serie A
Avellino vs Lazio
1:0
Mar 18, 1984 Serie A
Avellino vs Lazio
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Guendouzi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 26 / 100
Lazio 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lazio conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Avellino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Lazio
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
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Lazio

(Away)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
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