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Avellino vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Cancellotti T. In: Missori F.
Out: Cancellotti T.
35'
Bani M.
56'
Missori F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Avellino
20%
Draws
52%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palermo lately — more wins on the board than Avellino.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Palermo
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.16 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Palermo
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Avellino
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Avellino vs Palermo
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Palermo
1:2
Oct 31, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Palermo vs Avellino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheddira W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 18 / 100
Palermo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avellino scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Palermo let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Avellino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Palermo
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Monza
3 : 0
Avellino
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Palermo

(Away)
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0
Juve Stabia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)