Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018

Trzebinia Siersza

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Avia Swidnik play Trzebinia Siersza in the III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018. Avia Swidnik are favorites here. Recently, Avia Swidnik averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Trzebinia Siersza averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Avia Swidnik won 2, Trzebinia Siersza won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 31, 2018 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Avia Swidnik and 0.94 for Trzebinia Siersza. This points to a Avia Swidnik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Avia Swidnik

22%

Draws

18%

Trzebinia Siersza

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Avia Swidnik picked up more points recently compared to Trzebinia Siersza.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 24%

Trzebinia Siersza Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Avia Swidnik	Trzebinia Siersza
Matches Played	44	29
Wins	32	5
Draws	8	8
Losses	4	16
Goals Scored	2.57	0.97
Goals Conceded	0.91	1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2018 III Liga - Group IV

Avia Swidnik vs Trzebinia Siersza

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

5:1

Aug 26, 2017 III Liga - Group IV

Trzebinia Siersza vs Avia Swidnik

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jun 17, 2017 III Liga - Group IV

Trzebinia Siersza vs Avia Swidnik

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Nov 12, 2016 III Liga - Group IV

Avia Swidnik vs Trzebinia Siersza

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 59 / 100

Trzebinia Siersza 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Avia Swidnik Trzebinia Siersza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avia Swidnik Win (1)

Secondary Pick Avia Swidnik & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Avia Swidnik attacking → ← attacking Trzebinia Siersza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avia Swidnik scored in 98% of their last 44 games.

Trzebinia Siersza let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Avia Swidnik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Trzebinia Siersza lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

104 Points in last 5 23

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	R. Rzeszow	34	23	8	3	61:22	77
2	Motor Lublin	34	22	5	7	70:29	71
3	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	18	10	6	50:31	64
4	Chelmianka Chelm	34	18	8	8	56:29	62
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	16	8	10	59:43	56
6	S. Rzeszow	34	16	7	11	56:40	55
7	Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska	34	16	7	11	56:42	55
8	Wislanie Skawina	34	13	9	12	52:56	48
9	Orleta Radzyn	34	12	10	12	45:47	46
10	Avia Swidnik	34	10	11	13	55:49	41
11	Sola Oswiecim	34	10	7	17	39:59	37
12	Spartakus Daleszyce	34	10	6	18	39:55	36
13	Biala Podlaska	34	7	15	12	40:52	36
14	Sandomierz	34	10	6	18	30:46	36
15	Jaroslaw	34	10	5	19	39:64	35
16	Unia Tarnow	34	9	8	17	48:70	35
17	Trzebinia Siersza	34	6	9	19	35:63	27
18	KS Karpaty Krosno	34	6	9	19	27:60	27