Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Victoria Avenger park

Bentleigh Greens

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Avondale FC play Bentleigh Greens in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Avondale FC averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Bentleigh Greens averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Avondale FC won 3, Bentleigh Greens won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.69 for Avondale FC and 0.81 for Bentleigh Greens. This points to a Avondale FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Avondale FC

20%

Draws

32%

Bentleigh Greens

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avondale FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Avondale FC picked up more points recently compared to Bentleigh Greens.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.69 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Avondale FC Clean Sheet 26%

Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Avondale FC	Bentleigh Greens
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	16	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	2.21	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.72
Expected Goals (xG)	4.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Victoria

Avondale FC vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Feb 20, 2026 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Aug 19, 2023 NPL Victoria

Avondale FC vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

May 12, 2023 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

0:4

May 21, 2022 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avondale FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fornaroli B.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Ott G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.08

Avg xA / game 2

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale FC 48 / 100

Bentleigh Greens 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Avondale FC Bentleigh Greens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Avondale FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Avondale FC attacking → ← attacking Bentleigh Greens

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avondale FC scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Bentleigh Greens let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Avondale FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bentleigh Greens lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 36

4.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	20	13	5	2	43:18	44
2	Hume City	20	12	4	4	40:24	40
3	Avondale FC	20	11	1	8	53:27	34
4	Preston Lions	19	12	2	5	30:16	32
5	Heidelberg Utd	20	9	5	6	33:26	32
6	South Melbourne	20	10	1	9	31:32	31
7	Melbourne City U21	19	8	6	5	37:22	30
8	George Cross	20	6	9	5	27:28	27
9	St Albans	20	6	5	9	23:36	23
10	Dandenong City SC	20	7	5	8	26:27	22
11	Altona Magic	20	6	4	10	24:36	22
12	Bentleigh Greens	20	4	4	12	18:44	16
13	Dandenong Thunder	20	4	3	13	22:43	15
14	Green Gully	20	2	4	14	14:42	10