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Ayeyawady vs Shan United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayeyawady play Shan United in the National League. Shan United are favorites here. Recently, Ayeyawady averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Shan United averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Ayeyawady won 0, Shan United won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 10, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Ayeyawady and 2.00 for Shan United. This points to a Shan United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
56%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Ayeyawady picked up more points recently compared to Shan United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Shan United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.27 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Shan United
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Ayeyawady
3:1
Jun 24, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ayeyawady vs Shan United
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 National League
Shan United vs Ayeyawady
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 National League
Ayeyawady vs Shan United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayeyawady Compare

Top Goalscorer Shine Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakayoko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ko Sa Aung Pyae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 28 / 100
Shan United 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Shan United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shan United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ayeyawady attacking → ← attacking Shan United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayeyawady scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Shan United let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ayeyawady went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shan United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 61
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shan United22184066:1058
2Yangon United22183170:757
3Dagon22116539:3039
4Ispe2294935:4631
5Hantharwady United2277832:3428
6Mahar United2277839:4428
7Yadanarbon22751038:3826
8Ayeyawady22751025:2626
9Thitsar Arman2259836:3824
10Dagon Port22571044:6222
11Rakhine United22541328:5419
12Yarmanya United22131817:806