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Ayeyawady vs Yangon United Prediction & H2H Stats

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Khant Aung Myo
90' Event
Sithu K.

AI Match Summary

Yangon United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
61%
Yangon United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ayeyawady haven't matched Yangon United's recent run of results.
  • Yangon United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Yangon United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 10%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Yangon United
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 12 32
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.26 3.11
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 National League
Yangon United vs Ayeyawady
0:0
May 10, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:1
Feb 17, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:4
Aug 25, 2024 National League
Yangon United vs Ayeyawady
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayeyawady Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Khant Aung Myo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sithu K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 10 / 100
Yangon United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Yangon United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayeyawady scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Yangon United let in goals in 32% of their last 38 matches.

Ayeyawady has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Yangon United
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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Yangon United

(Away)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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