Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2014/2015

Aylesbury Vale

1 - 2

Merstham

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Merstham in this FA Trophy 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Aylesbury Vale

20%

Draws

80%

Merstham

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merstham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence

Aylesbury Vale haven't matched Merstham's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Merstham's way, sitting at 40%.
Merstham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Merstham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%

Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Aylesbury Vale Clean Sheet 10%

Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aylesbury Vale	Merstham
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	5	6
Draws	5	3
Losses	19	22
Goals Scored	1.14	1.16
Goals Conceded	2.03	2.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.42	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2014 FA Trophy

Aylesbury Vale vs Merstham

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury Vale 26 / 100

Merstham 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aylesbury Vale Merstham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merstham Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merstham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Aylesbury Vale's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Merstham has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aylesbury Vale VS Merstham

0.33 Goals Scored 1.88

2 Goals Conceded 2.5

67% Over 1.5 100%

67% Over 2.5 100%

33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury Vale

(Home)

30 Aug

Aylesbury Vale

1 : 3

St. Albans

31 Aug

Aylesbury Vale

0 : 3

Bognor Regis

03 Sept

Yate

4 : 3

Aylesbury Vale

26 Jul

Thame United

3 : 0

Aylesbury Vale

12 Jul

Aylesbury Vale

0 : 2

AFC Dunstable

Page 1 of 6

Merstham

(Away)

29 Aug

Peacehaven & Telscombe

2 : 1

Merstham

06 Sept

Kingstonian

1 : 0

Merstham

02 Aug

Merstham

1 : 4

Carshalton

12 Jul

Bedfont Sports

0 : 0

Merstham

05 Jul

Walton & Hersham

0 : 0

Merstham

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Chasetown 5

Norton United 0

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Newcastle Town 2

Grantham Town -

TBD -

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Loughborough Dynamo 6

Spennymoor 3

Harrogate Railway 2

Lancaster 2

Bamber Bridge 6

Spalding United 6

Soham 1

Bedworth United 2

Leek Town 5

Rushall -

TBD -

Cambridge City -

Stafford 1

Rugby 0

St Ives Town 0

Stratford 1

Blyth Spartans -

TBD -

Farsley -

Matlock -

TBD -

Halesowen -

Neots -

TBD -

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -

Scarborough Athletic -

TBD -

Radcliffe 0

Darlington FC 2

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Kendal 1

Northwich Victoria 2

Stamford -

TBD -

Barwell -

Witton Albion -

TBD -

Stocksbridge 3

Sheffield FC 4

Clitheroe 3

Droylsden 2

TBD -

Workington -

Market Drayton 5

Rainworth 2

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Stourbridge -

TBD -

Carlton Town -

Redditch -

TBD -

Corby -

Trafford -

TBD -

Brighouse Town 0

Ossett Town 1

Gresley 2

Tividale 0

Daventry 0

Romulus 2

Prescot Cables 2

Salford 1

Burscough 0

Goole 1

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Brigg Town 2

Padiham 4

Ashton United -

TBD -

Buxton -

Nantwich -

TBD -

Skelmersdale -

Whitby -

TBD -

Ramsbottom Utd -

Mickleover 4

Coalville Town 1

Lincoln Utd. 1

Kettering 2

Mossley AFC 2

Warrington Town 1

Ossett Albion 1

New Mills 2

Evesham -

TBD -

Banbury -

Frickley -

TBD -

Marine -

Hereford -

TBD -

Cinderford Town 2

AFC Totton 4

Bishops Cleeve -

TBD -

Clevedon 0

Mangotsfield 3

FC Witham Town -

TBD -

Potters 3

Royston Town 6

Egham Town 2

Bridgwater United 1

TBD -

Truro -

Dereham 2

Hanwell Town 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Tiverton 2

Wantage 0

Bashley 0

Sholing 1

Weymouth -

TBD -

Larkhall 2

Shortwood 4

Hitchin -

TBD -

Burnham FC -

Maidstone -

TBD -

Needham Market 1

Walton & Hersham 3

Sudbury 3

Whitstable Town 1

TBD -

Bognor Regis -

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Billericay -

Chalfont St Peter 2

AFC Hayes 1

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Barkingside -

TBD -

Kingstonian -

Ware 4

Great Wakering 0

Sittingbourne 2

Horsham FC 6

Peacehaven & Telscombe -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 1

Walton Casuals 6

Three Bridges 4

Carshalton 1

Aylesbury United 2

Thamesmead 3

Lewes -

TBD -

Wroxham 2

Harlow 5

South Park 5

Cheshunt 1

Herne Bay 3

Heybridge 6

Leiston -

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals 4

Leighton Town 6

Fleet Town 2

Swindon Supermarine 1

TBD -

Paulton Rovers -

Burgess Hill 1

Aveley 0

TBD -

Chesham -

Thurrock 4

Tilbury 3

Ramsgate 1

Folkestone 4

Slough Town -

TBD -

Margate -

Cirencester -

TBD -

Taunton Town 1

Merthyr Town 2

Brentwood 3

Redhill 2

TBD -

Biggleswade Town -

North Leigh 2

Yate 1

TBD -

Poole Town -

Uxbridge 4

Romford 3

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Hythe 3

Didcot 3

Marlow 1

TBD -

Bideford -

Bedford 4

Chipstead 3

Burnham Ramblers 1

Brightlingsea 5

Frome Town -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

Whyteleafe 2

Redbridge 1

TBD -

Dunstable Town -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Hornchurch -

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Aylesbury Vale 2

Tooting & Mitcham 1

TBD -

Merstham -

Histon -

TBD -

Belper Town -

Faversham 4

Beaconsfield Town 0

Hastings 0

Cray Wanderers 2

Hungerford -

TBD -

East Thurrock Utd -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Arlesey -

Hendon -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chatham 1

North Greenford Utd. 0

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

VCD Athletic -

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Grays -

Wimborne 3

Godalming Town 2

TBD -

Dorchester -

Guernsey FC 4

Barton 0

Waltham Abbey 1

Northwood 3

TBD -

Semi-finals

Chasetown 2

Newcastle Town 1

Grantham Town 1

Loughborough Dynamo 3

Spennymoor 3

Bamber Bridge 1

Spalding United 3

Leek Town 4

Rushall 2

Cambridge City 0

Stafford 0

Stratford 1

Blyth Spartans 2

Farsley 0

Matlock 1

Halesowen 5

Neots 2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1

Scarborough Athletic 0

Darlington FC 4

Curzon Ashton 1

Northwich Victoria 0

Stamford 0

Barwell 1

Witton Albion 1

Sheffield FC 0

Clitheroe 0

Workington 2

Market Drayton 3

King’s Lynn 7

Stourbridge 5

Carlton Town 3

Redditch 1

Corby 0

Trafford 5

Ossett Town 2

Gresley 3

Romulus 1

Prescot Cables 2

Goole 4

United of Manchester 2

Padiham 0

Ashton United 0

Buxton 2

Nantwich 2

Skelmersdale 0

Whitby 1

Ramsbottom Utd 2

Mickleover 3

Kettering 2

Mossley AFC 2

New Mills 3

Evesham 2

Banbury 3

Frickley 0

Marine 2

Hereford 2

AFC Totton 1

Bishops Cleeve 1

Mangotsfield 5

FC Witham Town 2

Royston Town 1

Egham Town 0

Truro 3

Dereham 1

Enfield Town 0

Tiverton 0

Sholing 1

Weymouth 1

Shortwood 0

Hitchin 2

Burnham FC 4

Maidstone 3

Walton & Hersham 2

Sudbury 4

Bognor Regis 3

Metropolitan Police 1

Billericay 0

Chalfont St Peter 0

Dulwich Hamlet 3

Barkingside 3

Kingstonian 1

Ware 0

Horsham FC 1

Peacehaven & Telscombe 4

Walton Casuals 2

Three Bridges 1

Thamesmead 3

Lewes 1

Harlow 0

South Park 1

Heybridge 4

Leiston 7

Leighton Town 4

Fleet Town 0

Paulton Rovers 3

Burgess Hill 2

Chesham 0

Thurrock 2

Folkestone 3

Slough Town 2

Margate 0

Cirencester 0

Merthyr Town 2

Brentwood 3

Biggleswade Town 4

North Leigh 1

Poole Town 3

Uxbridge 6

Hythe 1

Didcot 5

Bideford 4

Bedford 4

Brightlingsea 0

Frome Town 1

Chippenham Town 3

Whyteleafe 3

Dunstable Town 1

Leatherhead 4

Canvey Island 3

Hornchurch 2

Harrow Borough 0

Aylesbury Vale 1

Merstham 2

Histon 3

Belper Town 2

Faversham 0

Cray Wanderers 3

Hungerford 3

East Thurrock Utd 5

Wingate & Finchley 1

Arlesey 2

Hendon 3

Bury Town 1

Chatham 1

Worthing FC 2

Tonbridge 2

VCD Athletic 0

Hampton & Richmond 0

Grays 3

Wimborne 3

Dorchester 1

Guernsey FC 2

Northwood 3

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Chasetown 4

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Spennymoor 4

Leek Town 3

Rushall 5

Stratford 0

Blyth Spartans 1

Halesowen 3

Neots 3

Darlington FC 1

Curzon Ashton 1

Barwell 2

Witton Albion 3

Workington 6

King’s Lynn 3

Stourbridge 1

Redditch 5

Trafford 2

Gresley 2

Goole 0

United of Manchester 2

Buxton 0

Nantwich 1

Ramsbottom Utd 3

Mickleover 3

New Mills 1

Banbury 3

Marine 2

Hereford 2

Mangotsfield 0

FC Witham Town 0

Truro 1

Dereham 0

Sholing 2

Weymouth 1

Burnham FC 0

Maidstone 0

Sudbury 2

Metropolitan Police 2

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Barkingside 1

Horsham FC 3

Peacehaven & Telscombe 4

Thamesmead 3

Lewes 4

Heybridge 3

Leiston 3

Paulton Rovers 2

Burgess Hill 1

Folkestone 0

Slough Town 3

Merthyr Town 4

Biggleswade Town 1

Poole Town 2

Uxbridge 1

Didcot 2

Bedford 2

Chippenham Town 1

Whyteleafe 1

Leatherhead 4

Hornchurch 4

Merstham 2

Histon 0

Cray Wanderers 2

East Thurrock Utd 6

Arlesey 5

Hendon 4

Worthing FC 0

Tonbridge 2

Grays 0

Wimborne 2

Northwood 1

TBD -

Aylesbury Vale vs Merstham

England

Aylesbury Vale

Merstham

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury Vale

Merstham

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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