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Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hanrattana P.
Assist: Mita H.
46'
Sub
Islame Y. In: Aon-pean V.
Out: Islame Y.
57'
Laptrakul C.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Ayutthaya United and Nakhon Ratchasima FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nakhon Ratchasima FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ayutthaya United
6%
Draws
90%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayutthaya United come out ahead of Nakhon Ratchasima FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nakhon Ratchasima FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 17%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Ayutthaya United
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Ayutthaya United
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanrattana P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Nakhon Ratchasima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nakhon Ratchasima FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ayutthaya United scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Nakhon Ratchasima FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

(Away)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)