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Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Husnu Ugural Stadyumu, Ayvalik
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ayvalikgucu
30%
Draws
23%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayvalikgucu lately — more wins on the board than Karsiyaka.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ayvalikgucu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Karsiyaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
0:2
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
May 9, 1992 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 41 / 100
Karsiyaka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Karsiyaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayvalikgucu scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ayvalikgucu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Karsiyaka has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Karsiyaka
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
03 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 1
Soke 1970
26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3
Ayvalikgucu
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Karsiyaka

(Away)
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor 4
Bursa Yildirimspor 3
Kucukcekmece 2
Etimesgut 1
Erciyes 38 3
Mazidagi 1
Silifke 2
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 7
Fatsa Bld. 2
Karadeniz Eregli 0
Yozgat 4
Eskisehirspor 4
Balikesirspor 2
Karsiyaka 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Semi-finals
Corluspor 4
Kucukcekmece 2
Erciyes 38 3
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 2
Yozgat 1
Eskisehirspor 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Final
Corluspor 1
Malatya 0
52 Orduspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1