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Stadium Background

Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Husnu Ugural Stadyumu, Ayvalik
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ayvalikgucu
28%
Draws
22%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayvalikgucu lately — more wins on the board than Karsiyaka.
  • Model gives Ayvalikgucu a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Ayvalikgucu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Karsiyaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
0:2
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
May 9, 1992 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 59 / 100
Karsiyaka 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Karsiyaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayvalikgucu scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ayvalikgucu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Karsiyaka has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Karsiyaka
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
04 May
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 0
Eskisehirspor
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

Karsiyaka

(Away)
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1
Karsiyaka
12 Apr
Karsiyaka
5 : 0
Soke 1970
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor4
Bursa Yildirimspor3
Kucukcekmece2
Etimesgut1
Erciyes 383
Mazidagi1
Silifke2
Malatya4
52 Orduspor7
Fatsa Bld.2
Karadeniz Eregli0
Yozgat4
Eskisehirspor4
Balikesirspor2
Karsiyaka0
Ayvalikgucu2
Semi-finals
Corluspor4
Kucukcekmece2
Erciyes 383
Malatya4
52 Orduspor2
Yozgat1
Eskisehirspor0
Ayvalikgucu2
Final
Corluspor1
Malatya0
52 Orduspor2
Ayvalikgucu1