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Aywaille vs Erpe-Mere

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aywaille in this Belgian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Aywaille
15%
Draws
73%
Erpe-Mere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erpe-Mere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aywaille lately — more wins on the board than Erpe-Mere.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Aywaille have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aywaille, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aywaille Clean Sheet 20%
Erpe-Mere Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aywaille Erpe-Mere
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.27 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Belgian Cup
Aywaille vs Erpe-Mere
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aywaille 31 / 100
Erpe-Mere 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aywaille Erpe-Mere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aywaille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Erpe-Mere conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Aywaille scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Erpe-Mere registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aywaille VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aywaille

(Home)
20 Sept
Binche
0 : 0
Aywaille
13 Sept
Aywaille
1 : 4
Eupen 2
06 Sept
SG-Tertre Hautrage
2 : 1
Aywaille
30 Aug
Aywaille
1 : 4
Crossing Schaerbeek
22 Aug
Ostiches
1 : 0
Aywaille
Page 1 of 6

Erpe-Mere

(Away)
11 Aug
Aywaille
3 : 0
Erpe-Mere
20 Aug
Ninove
3 : 1
Erpe-Mere
13 Aug
Erpe-Mere
3 : 2
Raeren-Eynatten
06 Aug
Walhain
1 : 2
Erpe-Mere
14 May
Olsa Brakel
3 : 0
Erpe-Mere
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Ninove -
TBD -
KRC Harelbeke 5
Jong Lede 0
Stade Vervietois 1
Zepperen-Brustem 0
Arquet 0
Bredene 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Lokeren -
Kontich 1
Petegem 2
FC Du Geer 2
Oostkamp 1
KRC Mechelen 3
Kraainem 2
Torhout 0
RAS Monceau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waregem -
La Calamine 1
Overijse 0
TBD -
Hasselt -
Eendracht Termien 3
Tervuren-Duisburg 2
TBD -
Thes Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Seraing -
Knokke -
TBD -
Achel 0
Raeren-Eynatten 1
Tienen -
TBD -
Boom 2
Eendracht Aalter 1
Unico Tongeren 1
Habay La Neuve 5
TBD -
OC Charleroi -
KSK Tongeren 0
Kosova Schaerbeek 1
Turkse Rangers 3
Oudenaarde 2
Diegem 4
Harre-Manhay 0
Entite Manageoise 5
Aische 1
Renaissance Mons -
TBD -
Oppagne 0
Bocholter 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RAAL La Louviere -
Zedelgem 1
Biesme 2
FC Eupen 2
Jette 1
Londerzeel 2
Koninklijk Berchem Sport 4
TBD -
Binche -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Patro Eisden -
Nijlen 6
Wellen 1
TBD -
Union Rochefortoise -
Voorde Appelterre 3
Royal Marloie Sport 0
FC Lebbeke 2
Berlare 3
Westhoek 2
Lenaarts 0
Hamme 2
Gullegem 0
Kalken 1
Olsa Brakel 0
TBD -
Virton -
Lille United 4
Tisselt 0
TBD -
Merelbeke -
Dessel -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Blankenberge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Beveren -
Belisia Bilzen -
TBD -
KRC Gent 2
RCS Brainois 1
Stockay-Warfusee -
TBD -
Beloeil 1
Union Lasne-Ohain 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lommel SK -
Tubize-Braine -
TBD -
Meix-Devant-Virton 2
RUS Gouvy 1
Onhaye 3
Elene-Grotenberge 0
Rotselaar 1
Zwarte Leeuw 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Francs Borains -
Hades 1
Royal Union Sportive d'Ophain 2
Aywaille 3
Erpe-Mere 0
Zelzate 5
City Pirates 0
UR La Louviere Centre 3
Avanti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RWDM Brussels -
Acren 5
Mormont 0
Betekom 1
Verlaine 0
K. Lyra-Lierse -
TBD -
SG-Tertre Hautrage 1
Herent 3
Hoogstraten -
TBD -
Eendracht Wervik 0
Meux 1
ASV Geel 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 0
Wezel Sport 2
Schoonbeek-Beverst 1
Dikkelvenne 3
Weerstand Koersel 0
Linden 2
Mandel United 3
Flemalloise 0
RFC Wetteren 5
TBD -
Tournai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Deinze -
Hutoise 6
Landen 2
Berg en Dal 5
Jodoigne 2
Elsautoise 2
Sint-Denijssport 1
TBD -
Cappellen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Liege -
Namur -
TBD -
Houtvenne 3
Hamoir 1
Drongen 1
Sporting Bruxelles 2
RFC Grand-Leez 2
Ostiches 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lierse SK -
Ganshoren 4
Sprimont 3
Wallonne Ciney 1
Witgoor Sport 0
Heist -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 2
Esperanza Pelt 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eupen -
Quarter-finals
Ninove 5
KRC Harelbeke 0
Stade Vervietois 2
Bredene 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Lokeren -
Petegem 2
FC Du Geer 1
KRC Mechelen 1
RAS Monceau 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waregem -
La Calamine 1
Hasselt 6
Eendracht Termien 1
Thes Sport 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Seraing -
Knokke 3
Raeren-Eynatten 0
Tienen 1
Boom 2
Habay La Neuve 0
OC Charleroi 2
Kosova Schaerbeek 0
Turkse Rangers 1
Diegem 4
Entite Manageoise 1
Renaissance Mons 3
Bocholter 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RAAL La Louviere -
Biesme 3
FC Eupen 0
Koninklijk Berchem Sport 3
Binche 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Patro Eisden -
Nijlen 1
Union Rochefortoise 4
Voorde Appelterre 2
Berlare 1
Westhoek 1
Hamme 4
Kalken 3
Virton 1
Lille United 1
Merelbeke 2
Dessel 3
Blankenberge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Beveren -
Belisia Bilzen 3
KRC Gent 0
Stockay-Warfusee 4
Beloeil 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lommel SK -
Tubize-Braine 3
Meix-Devant-Virton 0
Onhaye 3
Rotselaar 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Francs Borains -
Royal Union Sportive d'Ophain 0
Aywaille 1
Zelzate 1
UR La Louviere Centre 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RWDM Brussels -
Acren 6
Betekom 0
K. Lyra-Lierse 2
Herent 0
Hoogstraten 0
Meux 1
ASV Geel 2
Wezel Sport 1
Dikkelvenne 1
Mandel United 0
RFC Wetteren 1
Tournai 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Deinze -
Hutoise 2
Berg en Dal 4
Elsautoise 1
Cappellen 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Liege -
Namur 1
Houtvenne 3
Sporting Bruxelles 3
RFC Grand-Leez 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lierse SK -
Ganshoren 2
Wallonne Ciney 1
Heist 0
Diksmuide Oostende 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eupen -
Semi-finals
Ninove 5
Bredene 1
TBD -
Sporting Lokeren -
Petegem 3
KRC Mechelen 2
TBD -
Waregem -
Hasselt 0
Thes Sport 1
TBD -
RFC Seraing -
Knokke 2
Boom 0
OC Charleroi 4
Turkse Rangers 0
Diegem 1
Renaissance Mons 3
TBD -
RAAL La Louviere -
Biesme 0
Binche 2
TBD -
Patro Eisden -
Union Rochefortoise 1
Voorde Appelterre 0
Hamme 3
Kalken 1
Merelbeke 0
Dessel 2
TBD -
SK Beveren -
Belisia Bilzen 3
Stockay-Warfusee 0
TBD -
Lommel SK -
Tubize-Braine 2
Onhaye 0
TBD -
Francs Borains -
Aywaille 4
UR La Louviere Centre 1
TBD -
RWDM Brussels -
Acren 1
K. Lyra-Lierse 2
Meux 2
ASV Geel 1
Dikkelvenne 1
RFC Wetteren 0
TBD -
Deinze -
Berg en Dal 1
Elsautoise 2
TBD -
RFC Liege -
Houtvenne 4
Sporting Bruxelles 3
TBD -
Lierse SK -
Ganshoren 1
Diksmuide Oostende 2
TBD -
Eupen -
Final
Ninove 1
Sporting Lokeren 3
Petegem 1
Waregem 3
Thes Sport 2
RFC Seraing 3
Knokke 3
OC Charleroi 5
Renaissance Mons 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Binche 1
Patro Eisden 2
Union Rochefortoise 2
Hamme 1
Dessel 2
SK Beveren 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Lommel SK 0
Tubize-Braine 2
Francs Borains 1
Aywaille 0
RWDM Brussels 5
K. Lyra-Lierse 3
Meux 0
Dikkelvenne 0
Deinze 3
Elsautoise 1
RFC Liege 3
Houtvenne 2
Lierse SK 3
Diksmuide Oostende 2
Eupen 3