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AZ Alkmaar W vs Hera United W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 AFAS Trainingscomplex
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kroese F.
22' Event
van Belen J.
Assist: Forshaw E.
43' Event
Hassani S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AZ Alkmaar W
40%
Draws
29%
Hera United W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar W lately — more wins on the board than Hera United W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 12%
Hera United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Hera United W
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Hera United W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Hera United W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kroese F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hera United W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Belen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hassani S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 30 / 100
Hera United W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Hera United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AZ Alkmaar W scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Hera United W conceded in 92% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS Hera United W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717