Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ba vs Mont Dore

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2011/2012 Govind Park, Ba
Ba Logo

Ba

2 - 1
FT
Mont Dore Logo

Mont Dore

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
64' Event
82' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ba in this OFC Champions League 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ba
15%
Draws
5%
Mont Dore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ba lately — more wins on the board than Mont Dore.
  • Ba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2011/2012 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ba Clean Sheet 20%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Mont Dore
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 20 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.72 0.95
Goals Conceded 0.91 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Ba
0:1
Oct 30, 2011 OFC Champions League
Ba vs Mont Dore
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 85 / 100
Mont Dore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Mont Dore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba scored in 97% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Mont Dore conceded in 100% of 19 recent games.

Ba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
Page 1 of 7

Mont Dore

(Away)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 6 4 1 1 15:12 13
2 Waitakere United 6 4 0 2 21:6 12
3 Ba 6 3 0 3 7:16 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 PNG Hekari 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Amicale 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Koloale 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)