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Babelsberg vs Eilenburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Hasse T.
57' Event
Poser N.
76' Event
Covic M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Babelsberg and Eilenburg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Babelsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Babelsberg
20%
Draws
61%
Eilenburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eilenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Babelsberg come out ahead of Eilenburg on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Eilenburg taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 10%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Babelsberg Eilenburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Eilenburg vs Babelsberg
0:4
Mar 6, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Eilenburg
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Babelsberg
0:2
Mar 28, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Babelsberg
3:2
Sep 27, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Eilenburg
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Babelsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasse T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Covic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Eilenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Poser N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Babelsberg 10 / 100
Eilenburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Babelsberg Eilenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eilenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Babelsberg scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Eilenburg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Babelsberg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Babelsberg VS Eilenburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.83
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Babelsberg

(Home)
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1
Babelsberg
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Eilenburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Eilenburg
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
12 Sept
Eilenburg
3 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)