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Baden vs St. Gallen II Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 Esp Stadium, Fislisbach
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AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 game between Baden and St. Gallen II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Baden
15%
Draws
51%
St. Gallen II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Gallen II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Baden haven't matched St. Gallen II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. Gallen II's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Baden here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Baden Clean Sheet 14%
St. Gallen II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baden St. Gallen II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
St. Gallen II vs Baden
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs St. Gallen II
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
St. Gallen II vs Baden
1:4
May 13, 2023 Promotion League
Baden vs St. Gallen II
2:1
Nov 5, 2022 Promotion League
St. Gallen II vs Baden
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baden 27 / 100
St. Gallen II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baden St. Gallen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Gallen II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: St. Gallen II conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Baden went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baden VS St. Gallen II
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baden

(Home)
03 Oct
Baden
2 : 3
Taverne
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
19 Sept
Baden
2 : 1
Dietikon
12 Sept
Tuggen
2 : 1
Baden
05 Sept
Baden
3 : 1
Wettswil-Bonstetten
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St. Gallen II

(Away)
26 Sept
St. Gallen II
2 : 0
Collina d'Oro
20 Sept
Mendrisio
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
13 Sept
St. Gallen II
5 : 1
Kosova
05 Sept
Thalwil
5 : 1
St. Gallen II
29 Aug
St. Gallen II
0 : 3
Baden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Fellows Juventus 30 23 4 3 81:26 73
2 Tuggen 30 19 4 7 74:52 61
3 Taverne 30 18 6 6 54:31 60
4 Wettswil-Bonstetten 30 18 5 7 74:36 59
5 Dietikon 30 12 8 10 54:47 44
6 Freienbach 30 12 7 11 53:53 43
7 Baden 30 11 8 11 58:52 41
8 Mendrisio 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
9 Winterthur II 30 10 9 11 61:54 39
10 Collina d'Oro 30 10 9 11 46:44 39
11 Kosova 30 9 9 12 54:55 36
12 Eschen/Mauren 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
13 St. Gallen II 30 9 5 16 47:66 32
14 FC Widnau 30 7 6 17 34:63 27
15 Hongg 30 6 7 17 32:62 25
16 SV Schaffhausen 30 3 5 22 24:87 14
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)