Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 1

Asker

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baerum play Asker in the Division 3 - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Baerum averaged 2.76 goals scored and 2 conceded. Asker averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Baerum won 2, Asker won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Baerum and 2.69 for Asker. This points to a Baerum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Baerum

15%

Draws

39%

Asker

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Baerum picked up more points recently compared to Asker.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 98%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%

Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Asker Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 88%

Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baerum	Asker
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	12
Draws	7	3
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	2.76	2.13
Goals Conceded	2	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1

Baerum vs Asker

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

2:4

Mar 16, 2025 OBOS Supercup

Baerum vs Asker

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

Aug 17, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3

Asker vs Baerum

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

May 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3

Baerum vs Asker

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

1:4

Feb 3, 2024 OBOS Supercup

Asker vs Baerum

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Asker Compare

Top Goalscorer Severinsen G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Syvertsen K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.95

Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 43 / 100

Asker 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baerum Asker

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Baerum or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baerum attacking → ← attacking Asker

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Asker let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Baerum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Asker lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 39

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 3.25

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38