Sport Picks
Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Baglan Dragons and Aberystwyth finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberystwyth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Baglan Dragons haven't matched Aberystwyth's recent run of results.
- Model gives Aberystwyth a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Aberystwyth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baglan Dragons Compare
Aberystwyth Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aberystwyth has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Baglan Dragons found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).
Recent resilience: Baglan Dragons stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home)Aberystwyth
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
