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Bahamas vs Turks and Caicos Islands

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Julmis P.
11' Event
Williams C.
34' Event
Russell D.

AI Match Summary

Bahamas in this Friendly International 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahamas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bahamas
6%
Draws
90%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turks and Caicos Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Turks and Caicos Islands have won more games recently than Bahamas.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Turks and Caicos Islands taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Bahamas have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahamas Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.57
Goals Conceded 4.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2022 Friendly International
Bahamas vs Turks and Caicos Islands
4:2
Mar 16, 2019 Friendly International
Bahamas vs Turks and Caicos Islands
6:1
Jul 9, 2011 World Championship
Bahamas vs Turks and Caicos Islands
6:0
Jul 2, 2011 World Championship
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Bahamas
0:4
Sep 6, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Bahamas vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Julmis P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russell D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amilcar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahamas 10 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahamas Turks and Caicos Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turks and Caicos Islands let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Turks and Caicos Islands has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bahamas found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bahamas VS Turks and Caicos Islands
1.5 Goals Scored 0.57
4.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 71%
88% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahamas

(Home)
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6
British Virgin Islands
12 Nov
Bahamas
1 : 2
Anguilla
07 Jun
Bahamas
0 : 8
Costa Rica
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Turks and Caicos Islands

(Away)
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
16 Oct
Belize
3 : 0
Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
2 : 1
Anguilla
07 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 4
Belize
04 Sept
Anguilla
2 : 0
Turks and Caicos Islands
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