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Bahamas W vs United States Virgin Islands W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mackiesh T.
31' Event
Kenyonique T.
34' Event
Canizio B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with United States Virgin Islands W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bahamas W
28%
Draws
50%
United States Virgin Islands W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: United States Virgin Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bahamas W haven't matched United States Virgin Islands W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans United States Virgin Islands W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • United States Virgin Islands W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor United States Virgin Islands W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Bahamas W Clean Sheet 14%
United States Virgin Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahamas W United States Virgin Islands W
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 1
Losses 3 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.25
Goals Conceded 3 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Bahamas W vs United States Virgin Islands W
1:2
Oct 29, 2023 Gold Cup Women
United States Virgin Islands W vs Bahamas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahamas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenyonique T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

United States Virgin Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mackiesh T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canizio B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahamas W 23 / 100
United States Virgin Islands W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahamas W United States Virgin Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahamas W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

United States Virgin Islands W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: United States Virgin Islands W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahamas W VS United States Virgin Islands W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
3 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahamas W

(Home)
29 Nov
Bahamas W
1 : 2
United States Virgin Islands W
29 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 0
Bahamas W
24 Sept
Grenada W
4 : 1
Bahamas W
20 Sept
Bahamas W
1 : 6
Grenada W

United States Virgin Islands W

(Away)
14 Apr
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
1 : 0
United States Virgin Islands W
11 Apr
Mexico W
9 : 0
United States Virgin Islands W
05 Mar
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 9
Puerto Rico W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1
Saint Lucia W
25 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
6 : 0
British Virgin Islands W
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