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Bahia de Feira vs UNIRB

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Baiano 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia de Feira play UNIRB in the Campeonato Baiano 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bahia de Feira averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. UNIRB averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Bahia de Feira won 2, UNIRB won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 3, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Bahia de Feira and 0.88 for UNIRB. This points to a Bahia de Feira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bahia de Feira
34%
Draws
27%
UNIRB
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Bahia de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahia de Feira picked up more points recently compared to UNIRB.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 25%
UNIRB Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira UNIRB
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2022 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs UNIRB
2:0
May 5, 2021 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs UNIRB
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia de Feira Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Cazumba
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diones
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

UNIRB Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira 40 / 100
UNIRB 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira UNIRB

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bahia de Feira or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bahia de Feira attacking → ← attacking UNIRB

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia de Feira scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

UNIRB let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Bahia de Feira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UNIRB lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 40
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juazeirense953113:1018
2Bahia de Feira943212:615
3Bahia94328:515
4Alagoinhas941412:1113
5Vitoria925211:1011
6Jacuipense92528:811
7Vitoria da Conquista93158:910
8UNIRB92437:1010
9Doce Mel92436:1010
10Fluminense de Feira91359:156