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Bahia U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia U20 play Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bahia U20 averaged 2.69 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Bahia U20 won 2, Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Bahia U20 and 1.44 for Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20. This points to a Bahia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bahia U20
21%
Draws
38%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahia U20 picked up more points recently compared to Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U20 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.69 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3:1
Jul 2, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
0:2
Jan 16, 2025 Copinha
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Bahia U20
3:0
Apr 18, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
1:0
Apr 5, 2023 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Andrade
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roger Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U20 40 / 100
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U20 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bahia U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bahia U20 attacking → ← attacking Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia U20 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Bahia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 57
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515