Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bahia W vs America Mineiro W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cassia
22'
Gica
24' Event
Dani Ortolan
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Bahia W and America Mineiro W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bahia W
6%
Draws
4%
America Mineiro W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia W come out ahead of America Mineiro W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bahia W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 68%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W America Mineiro W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs America Mineiro W
3:1
Mar 31, 2025 Brasileiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Bahia W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raquel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

America Mineiro W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 95 / 100
America Mineiro W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W America Mineiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bahia W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: America Mineiro W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS America Mineiro W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
27 Jul
Bahia W
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ W
21 Jul
Itabirito W
0 : 1
Bahia W
27 May
Planalto EC W
0 : 1
Bahia W
23 May
Fluminense W
3 : 3
Bahia W
16 May
Bahia W
3 : 0
Internacional W
Page 1 of 6

America Mineiro W

(Away)
24 Jul
America Mineiro W
0 : 1
Santos W
28 May
Vasco W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
24 May
Botafogo RJ W
0 : 3
America Mineiro W
16 May
America Mineiro W
0 : 2
Atletico-MG W
08 May
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
America Mineiro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W13101235:1331
2Sao Paulo W1392221:929
3Palmeiras W1384127:1028
4Bahia W1373324:1724
5Internacional W1372414:1023
6Ferroviaria W1365219:1223
7CR Flamengo W1365221:1523
8Cruzeiro W1356224:1621
9Bragantino W1362521:2020
10Gremio W1353519:1418
11Santos W1345413:1517
12Fluminense W1344514:1516
13Atletico-MG W1333714:1812
14EC Juventude W132477:1210
15Mixto W131578:248
16America Mineiro W131396:266
17Vitoria W131399:326
18Botafogo RJ W1312108:265
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)