Sport Picks
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
57'
57'
Disasa G.
67'
67'
Belete W.
68'
68'
Shafi H.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Bahir Dar Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahir Dar Kenema
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ethiopia Nigd Bank come out ahead of Bahir Dar Kenema on wins alone.
- Bahir Dar Kenema are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahir Dar Kenema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 18 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahir Dar Kenema
2:2
Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:2
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahir Dar Kenema
0:0
Dec 4, 2024 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
3:0
Jun 13, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahir Dar Kenema
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahir Dar Kenema Compare
Top Goalscorer Disasa G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Belete W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare
Top Goalscorer Shafi H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peter S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahir Dar Kenema 46 / 100
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahir Dar Kenema Ethiopia Nigd Bank
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ethiopia Nigd Bank conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Bahir Dar Kenema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Bahir Dar Kenema found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Bahir Dar Kenema VS Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Home) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
19 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Mechal SC
10 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
01 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Shire Endaselassie
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Away) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 May
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 Apr
Arba Menche
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
