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Bahrain U23 vs Afghanistan U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ahmadi Abdulrahman M.
87' Event
Madan A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bahrain U23 in this AFC Championship U23 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahrain U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bahrain U23
15%
Draws
85%
Afghanistan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afghanistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Afghanistan U23 haven't matched Bahrain U23's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Afghanistan U23 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Bahrain U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Afghanistan U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain U23 Afghanistan U23
Matches Played 34 19
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.12 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bahrain U23 vs Afghanistan U23
0:0
Jul 23, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bahrain U23 vs Afghanistan U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmadi Abdulrahman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Afghanistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain U23 16 / 100
Afghanistan U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain U23 Afghanistan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afghanistan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afghanistan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

Difficult form: Afghanistan U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bahrain U23's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain U23 VS Afghanistan U23
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain U23

(Home)
11 Dec
Bahrain U23
1 : 2
Kuwait U23
08 Dec
Bahrain U23
0 : 1
Qatar U23
05 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
5 : 0
Bahrain U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
15 Nov
Bahrain U23
0 : 2
Russia U21
Page 1 of 7

Afghanistan U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 1
Kuwait U23
03 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Afghanistan U23
12 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 0
Afghanistan U23
09 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 4
Iran U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U23 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Iran U23 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Sri Lanka U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Afghanistan U23 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 India U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U23 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Singapore U23 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 Hong Kong U23 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 2:25 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams