Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Margveti 2006

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Karchava B.
16' Event
Kirkitadze D.
32' Event
Darsavelidze T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Bakhmaro Chokhatauri and Margveti 2006 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Margveti 2006.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
6%
Draws
90%
Margveti 2006
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Margveti 2006 come out ahead of Bakhmaro Chokhatauri on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Margveti 2006's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 10%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Margveti 2006
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 5 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Margveti 2006
2:4
Jun 7, 2025 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Compare

Top Goalscorer Karchava B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khelidze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Margveti 2006 Compare

Top Goalscorer Darsavelidze T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkitadze D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 10 / 100
Margveti 2006 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Margveti 2006

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Margveti 2006 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bakhmaro Chokhatauri scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Margveti 2006's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri VS Margveti 2006
0 Goals Scored 1.13
5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

(Home)
05 Dec
WIT Georgia
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
28 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0 : 2
Shturmi
21 Nov
Dusheti
4 : 1
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
13 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2 : 4
Margveti 2006
06 Nov
Didube
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
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Margveti 2006

(Away)
24 Jul
Margveti 2006
1 : 3
Iberia 1999
26 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
0 : 4
Margveti 2006
21 Jun
Margveti 2006
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
15 Jun
Gonio
4 : 0
Margveti 2006
28 May
Margveti 2006
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
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