Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baku Sporting vs MOIK Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Tagiyev E.
90' Event
Mammadli K.

AI Match Summary

Baku Sporting in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baku Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Baku Sporting
22%
Draws
18%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Baku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • MOIK Baku haven't matched Baku Sporting's recent run of results.
  • Baku Sporting are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 68%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baku Sporting MOIK Baku
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs MOIK Baku
3:1
Feb 12, 2026 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs MOIK Baku
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Baku Sporting
0:0
May 23, 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs MOIK Baku
0:0
Dec 18, 2024 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Baku Sporting
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Tagiyev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mammadli K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

MOIK Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baku Sporting 68 / 100
MOIK Baku 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baku Sporting MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Baku Sporting scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Baku Sporting remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: MOIK Baku registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baku Sporting VS MOIK Baku
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baku Sporting

(Home)
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
07 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Baku Sporting
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Shimal
1 : 0
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 6

MOIK Baku

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)