Sport Picks

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Baleares vs Mallorca B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baleares host Mallorca B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Baleares at 1.71 goals for, 0.89 against; Mallorca B at 2.39 for, 0.89 against. Past meetings favor Baleares slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.81) point toward Baleares. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baleares
30%
Draws
37%
Mallorca B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mallorca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mallorca B at 2.39 per game, Baleares at 1.71.
  • Baleares are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Baleares have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Baleares Clean Sheet 20%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Mallorca B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.71 2.39
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Mallorca B vs Baleares
1:3
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Baleares vs Mallorca B
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Mallorca B vs Baleares
0:3
Dec 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Mallorca B
3:0
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Baleares vs Mallorca B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 36 / 100
Mallorca B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Mallorca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Baleares has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mallorca B has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Mallorca B
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
30 Aug
Baleares
3 : 1
Porreres
22 Aug
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 3
Baleares
Page 1 of 6

Mallorca B

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0
Sant Andreu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Castellonense 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 Orihuela 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 UCAM Murcia 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
5 Castellon B 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 CF Intercity 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Deportiva Minera 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Mallorca B 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Yeclano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Ciudad Cieza 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Ilicitano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 Alcoyano 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Lorca Deportiva 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Valencia B 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Pena Deportiva 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
16 Baleares 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
17 UD Poblense 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
18 Real Murcia B 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)