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Baleares vs Porreres

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
45' Event
Femenias M.
61' Event
Cherta J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Baleares and Porreres finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baleares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Baleares
20%
Draws
51%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porreres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Porreres haven't matched Baleares's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Baleares here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Baleares Clean Sheet 20%
Porreres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Porreres
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Baleares vs Porreres
3:1
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Porreres vs Baleares
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Porreres
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Femenias M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cherta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Porreres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 36 / 100
Porreres 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Porreres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porreres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Porreres has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Baleares remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Porreres
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
30 Aug
Baleares
3 : 1
Porreres
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Porreres

(Away)
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Porreres
2 : 0
Andratx
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