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Bali United vs FC Bhayangkara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bali United host FC Bhayangkara in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FC Bhayangkara have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Bali United have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.4. Past meetings favor Bali United slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Bali United. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bali United
30%
Draws
27%
FC Bhayangkara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bali United have won more games recently than FC Bhayangkara.
  • Win probability leans Bali United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Bali United Clean Sheet 19%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bali United FC Bhayangkara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.4 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs FC Bhayangkara
4:1
Nov 7, 2025 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Bali United
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Super League
Bali United vs FC Bhayangkara
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Bali United
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Bali United
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bali United 85 / 100
FC Bhayangkara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bali United FC Bhayangkara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bali United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bali United's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Bali United has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Bhayangkara let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bali United VS FC Bhayangkara
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bali United

(Home)
08 Nov
Bali United
3 : 0
Persik Kediri
04 Nov
Balikpapan
1 : 6
Bali United
31 Oct
Arema FC
1 : 3
Bali United
25 Oct
Persita
1 : 1
Bali United
21 Oct
Bali United
5 : 0
Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 6

FC Bhayangkara

(Away)
08 Nov
PSS Sleman
1 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
04 Nov
PSPS Riau
1 : 3
FC Bhayangkara
30 Oct
Java United
2 : 0
FC Bhayangkara
26 Oct
FC Bhayangkara
0 : 0
PSM Makassar
20 Oct
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 9 7 0 2 19:8 21
2 Dewa United 9 6 2 1 16:12 20
3 Bali United 9 6 1 2 26:9 19
4 Madura United 9 6 1 2 16:10 19
5 Persib Bandung 9 5 1 3 16:10 16
6 Persita 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
7 Java United 9 4 3 2 14:11 13
8 Persebaya 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
9 FC Bhayangkara 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
10 Garudayaksa 9 3 2 4 12:16 11
11 Borneo 8 3 1 4 8:10 10
12 PSM Makassar 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
13 Persik Kediri 9 3 1 5 9:14 10
14 Arema FC 9 2 3 4 17:20 9
15 Isenmulang Kalteng 9 2 2 5 4:16 6
16 PSS Sleman 9 1 2 6 12:17 5
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
18 Persijap Jepara 9 0 2 7 5:18 2
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