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Balikesirspor vs Yesil Yalova FK Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu, Balikesir
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Match Events

11' Event
Yilmaz B.
26' Event
Akca M.
64' Event
Topatar I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Yesil Yalova FK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Balikesirspor
15%
Draws
26%
Yesil Yalova FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balikesirspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Yesil Yalova FK haven't matched Balikesirspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Balikesirspor's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Balikesirspor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yesil Yalova FK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 68%
Yesil Yalova FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikesirspor Yesil Yalova FK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.04 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
Balikesirspor vs Yesil Yalova FK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikesirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Yesil Yalova FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Akca M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Topatar I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikesirspor 68 / 100
Yesil Yalova FK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikesirspor Yesil Yalova FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balikesirspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikesirspor's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Yesil Yalova FK has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Balikesirspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balikesirspor VS Yesil Yalova FK
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Balikesirspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Bigaspor
3 : 2
Balikesirspor
27 Sept
Eskisehirspor
7 : 1
Balikesirspor
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
13 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Balikesirspor
06 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
Page 1 of 6

Yesil Yalova FK

(Away)
03 Oct
Yesil Yalova FK
2 : 4
Bulvarspor
27 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 0
Yesil Yalova FK
20 Sept
Yesil Yalova FK
3 : 3
Golcukspor
16 Sept
Galata Spor Kulubu
2 : 1
Yesil Yalova FK
12 Sept
Buyukcekmece Gucu
1 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru 7
Hakkari Zap 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Bitlis 1916 3
TBD -
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Rizespor -
Duzcespor -
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Pendikspor -
Corluspor -
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Ayvalikgucu -
Silifke -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor 2
Kilis Bld. 1
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Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
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Etimesgut 0
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0
Trabzonspor -
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Kastamonuspor -
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Yozgat 1
Fatsa Bld. 2
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Vanspor FK -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Isparta 32 Spor 4
Kirsehir SK 0
Silivrispor -
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Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 3
Adanaspor AS 0
Kurtalanspor 1
Sanliurfaspor 4
Kestel Cilekspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Fethiyespor 2
Soke 1970 0
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 8
Sirnak 0
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Mazidagi -
Menemenspor -
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Bartinspor 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 3
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor -
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12 Bingol Spor 3
Mardin 1969 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Buyukcekmece Gucu 3
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Karacabey Bld. -
Malatya 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
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Adana 01 -
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Kocaelispor -
Kirklarelispor 1
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
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Beykoz Anadolu -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gemlikspor 0
Gaziantep -
TBD -
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Ankaragucu 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3
Guzide Gebzespor 6
Bulvarspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 0
24Erzincanspor 1
Bulancakspor 2
Hopaspor 1
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Igdir FK -
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Orduspor 1967 -
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Erbaaspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
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Pazarspor -
Sakaryaspor -
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Kucukcekmece -
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Inegolspor 2
Ezinespor 0
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
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Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Giresunspor 7
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52 Orduspor -
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Sariyer -
Boluspor -
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Kahta 2
Iskenderunspor 1
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Adanademirspor -
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Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
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Agri 1970 -
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Batman Petrolspor -
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F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
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Edirnespor Genclik 0
Soma Spor 3
1926 Polatli Belediye 1
Cankaya FK 2
Amasyaspor -
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Trabzon FK 4
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Karaman FK 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1
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Umraniyespor -
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Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
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Kutahyaspor -
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Altinordu -
Karsiyaka -
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Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Altay 0
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Alanyaspor -
Bucak Belediyesi 1
Kepez Bld. 2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2
Nazillispor 0
Sivasspor -
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Cayeli SK 1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2
Bornova 1877 3
Afyonspor 0
Aliaga 2
Inegol Kafkas 1
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Serik Spor -
Hatayspor -
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Erciyes 38 2
Turk Metal 1963 0
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Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Nigde 2
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Aksaray Bld. -
Kirikkale FK -
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Manisa FK -
Ankaraspor 1
Eskisehirspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Muglaspor 3
1074 Cankirispor 0
Ankara Demirspor 3
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Zonguldak Komurspor -
Tire 2021 FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Quarter-finals
Karakopru 2
Bitlis 1916 1
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor 3
Pendikspor 4
Corluspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Silifke 7
K. Istklalspor 1
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 2
Trabzonspor -
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Kastamonuspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 4
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Vanspor FK -
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Silivrispor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Kestel Cilekspor 0
Fethiyespor 1
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 5
Mazidagi 0
Menemenspor 2
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor 2
12 Bingol Spor 3
Buyukcekmece Gucu 0
Karacabey Bld. 2
Malatya 3
Adana 01 2
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Kocaelispor -
Galata Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 5
Balikesirspor 1
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Guzide Gebzespor 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Bulancakspor 2
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Pazarspor 0
Sakaryaspor -
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Kucukcekmece 1
Inegolspor 3
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
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Giresunspor 1
52 Orduspor 2
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Sariyer -
Boluspor -
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Kahta 2
Adanademirspor 1
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Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Agri 1970 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
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F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
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Soma Spor 1
Cankaya FK 3
Amasyaspor 0
Trabzon FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Karaman FK 0
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Umraniyespor -
TBD -
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Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Karsiyaka 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Kepez Bld. 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Sivasspor 2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1
Bornova 1877 0
Aliaga 6
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor 2
Erciyes 38 3
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Nigde 3
Aksaray Bld. 1
Kirikkale FK 0
Manisa FK 2
Eskisehirspor 0
Muglaspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 3
Tire 2021 FK 0
Bodrumspor 1
Semi-finals
Karakopru 0
Rizespor 3
Pendikspor 3
Corluspor 2
Silifke 3
Amedspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Bursaspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 3
Vanspor FK 4
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 0
Fethiyespor 3
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 1
Menemenspor 0
Konyaspor 4
12 Bingol Spor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Malatya 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Beykoz Anadolu 1
Yesil Yalova FK 3
Gaziantep 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bulancakspor 1
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 4
Erbaaspor 2
Sakaryaspor 4
Inegolspor 0
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 0
Sariyer 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
Kahta 3
Kasimpasa 1
Erokspor 3
Agri 1970 0
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 2
Trabzon FK 0
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Umraniyespor 0
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK 3
Kutahyaspor 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
Alanyaspor 2
Kepez Bld. 1
Sivasspor 3
Aliaga 4
Serik Spor 3
Erciyes 38 2
Keciorengucu 5
Kayserispor 1
Nigde 0
Manisa FK 0
Muglaspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Bodrumspor 5
Final
Rizespor 6
Pendikspor 1
Silifke 0
Antalyaspor 1
Trabzonspor 2
Vanspor FK 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Goztepe 0
Fethiyespor 4
Bandirmaspor 1
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 4
Karacabey Bld. 1
Kocaelispor 2
Yesil Yalova FK 0
Gaziantep 2
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 2
Sakaryaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 5
Istanbulspor AS 6
Sariyer 0
Boluspor 2
Kahta 1
Erokspor 2
F. Karagumruk 5
Eyupspor 6
Cankaya FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Erzurumspor FK 3
Corum FK 0
Alanyaspor 5
Sivasspor 1
Aliaga 3
Keciorengucu 2
Kayserispor 0
Muglaspor 1
Bodrumspor 2