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Ballinamallard vs Annagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Ballinamallard and Annagh finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Annagh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ballinamallard
20%
Draws
45%
Annagh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Annagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Annagh come out ahead of Ballinamallard on wins alone.
  • Model gives Annagh a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%
Annagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Annagh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Annagh
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Annagh
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ballinamallard
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Annagh
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Annagh vs Ballinamallard
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 22 / 100
Annagh 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Annagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Annagh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Annagh let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Ballinamallard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ballinamallard's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Annagh
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3
Annagh
22 Aug
Ballinamallard
2 : 1
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

Annagh

(Away)
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3
Annagh
22 Aug
Annagh
2 : 0
Moyola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 8 5 2 1 20:11 17
2 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
3 Queens University 8 5 1 2 18:6 16
4 Harland & Wolff 8 5 0 3 15:10 15
5 Glenavon 8 4 2 2 18:12 14
6 Ballinamallard 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Institute 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Newry City 8 3 3 2 12:14 12
9 Ards 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
10 Warrenpoint 8 3 1 4 15:14 10
11 Loughgall 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 8 2 2 4 9:17 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 8 0 4 4 8:14 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 8 1 0 7 6:19 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)